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Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Thu Oct 10, 2024 6:27 am
by sharonschmidt
+1 to this. Worth adding:
Estimated total operational commercial humanoids worldwide sit around 7,000-8,000 units as of mid-2026, broken down roughly as Optimus Gen 3 (1,000+), Unitree (5,500+ cumulative), Agility Digit (~250), Apptronik Apollo (~80), and Figure (~150) - useful context for how early-stage 'commercial scale' still is industry-wide.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Sun Oct 13, 2024 5:16 am
by choi98
Short answer:
Tesla reportedly deployed more than 1,000 Optimus Gen 3 units into its own Fremont, Austin, and Berlin factories starting around January 2026, with a stated capacity target near 100,000 units for the year - it's worth noting these are internal factory deployments, not confirmed third-party commercial sales. Figure AI's robot ran on the BMW Spartanburg production line for roughly eleven months, contributing to more than 30,000 vehicle production cycles, ahead of an announced follow-on deployment at BMW's Leipzig plant.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Mon Oct 14, 2024 11:47 am
by camila.jackson0
@choi98 I'd take that specific number with a grain of salt, honestly.
Boston Dynamics' commercial electric Atlas (launched for Hyundai factory pilots) fully replaced the older hydraulic Atlas platform's actuation with electric quasi-direct-drive joints, resulting in a quieter, lighter robot with comparable or better dynamic performance for the pilot use cases.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Sat Oct 26, 2024 3:07 am
by chenperez
@camila.jackson0 Tangent, but worth mentioning:
Agility Robotics' Digit is operating in Amazon fulfillment centers and GXO warehouses moving totes, backed by a factory with roughly 10,000 units of annual production capacity - one of the more mature commercial-scale logistics deployments as of 2026.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Fri Nov 01, 2024 8:29 am
by zoeanderson
@chenperez From what I've seen:
Total humanoid robotics funding from 2023 through early 2026 across major companies, smaller startups, and corporate R&D programs is estimated at more than $12 billion, illustrating how fast capital has piled into the sector in a short window.
Totally unrelated but has anyone else noticed how fast component costs are dropping this year.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Thu Nov 07, 2024 5:00 pm
by chenperez
Slightly off-topic, but related:
Tesla reportedly deployed more than 1,000 Optimus Gen 3 units into its own Fremont, Austin, and Berlin factories starting around January 2026, with a stated capacity target near 100,000 units for the year - it's worth noting these are internal factory deployments, not confirmed third-party commercial sales. 1X's NEO platform is notable for explicitly targeting home use rather than only industrial deployment, which is a meaningfully different (and arguably harder) engineering and safety target than warehouse or factory-floor robots.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Wed Nov 13, 2024 11:30 pm
by matthew43
This is a great summary, thanks.
Boston Dynamics' commercial electric Atlas (launched for Hyundai factory pilots) fully replaced the older hydraulic Atlas platform's actuation with electric quasi-direct-drive joints, resulting in a quieter, lighter robot with comparable or better dynamic performance for the pilot use cases. Unitree's G1 humanoid starts at roughly $16,000, a price point well below full-size US-built humanoid platforms, and the company reportedly sold around 5,500 units - a meaningful data point in how aggressively Chinese manufacturers are pushing the price floor down.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Mon Nov 18, 2024 6:37 am
by emilyperez
@matthew43 One nitpick -
Automotive manufacturers - BMW, Mercedes, BYD, Geely, and Toyota among them - have become some of the most important early adopters, largely because their factories already have the structured environments and safety processes that make early humanoid deployment more tractable.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Tue Nov 26, 2024 12:02 pm
by choi98
Here's what I know on this:
Boston Dynamics' commercial electric Atlas (launched for Hyundai factory pilots) fully replaced the older hydraulic Atlas platform's actuation with electric quasi-direct-drive joints, resulting in a quieter, lighter robot with comparable or better dynamic performance for the pilot use cases.
Re: Tesla Optimus Gen 3 factory deployment - what do we actually know?
Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2024 10:07 pm
by noah_pate
@choi98 Agreed, and I'd add:
Agility Robotics' Digit is operating in Amazon fulfillment centers and GXO warehouses moving totes, backed by a factory with roughly 10,000 units of annual production capacity - one of the more mature commercial-scale logistics deployments as of 2026. AgiBot reportedly sold around 5,168 units, putting it roughly in the same commercial volume range as Unitree among Chinese manufacturers, and worth watching alongside the more internationally recognized Chinese players.
Makes me wonder how this looks in another five years.