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Re: Anyone else notice how quickly the price floor is dropping with Chinese entrants?
Posted: Fri Oct 24, 2025 6:02 am
by green28
@carol.robinson Slightly off-topic, but related:
Late-stage funding rounds, essentially absent before 2025, became a defining feature of the market with roughly $1.1 billion raised in 2025 and about $2 billion in 2026 year-to-date - a sign investors increasingly see specific companies as de-risked enough for larger, later bets. Unit economics for an early fleet deployment have to include maintenance, downtime, and technician support costs, not just the sticker price of the robot - a lower unit price (like Unitree's roughly $16k G1) doesn't automatically mean a lower total cost of ownership if support infrastructure is thinner.
Re: Anyone else notice how quickly the price floor is dropping with Chinese entrants?
Posted: Sat Oct 25, 2025 8:39 am
by cynthia.muller
From what I've seen:
The 'labor shortage' framing in a lot of humanoid robotics pitch decks is doing real narrative work - it's a genuinely true dynamic in some sectors like warehousing and logistics, but it's also a much more palatable framing than 'labor cost reduction,' and both are usually true simultaneously.
Re: Anyone else notice how quickly the price floor is dropping with Chinese entrants?
Posted: Sun Oct 26, 2025 9:21 am
by ssantos
Not sure I fully agree here.
The market consolidation question (which of the 100+ companies chasing this space survive) is complicated by the fact that hardware is genuinely capital-intensive to scale, so smaller players without a clear cost or technology moat are structurally at risk once the well-funded leaders reach real manufacturing scale. Automotive OEMs becoming the leading early-adopter vertical isn't really about cars specifically - it's about those companies already having structured facilities, existing automation budgets, and risk tolerance for piloting new equipment at scale.
Re: Anyone else notice how quickly the price floor is dropping with Chinese entrants?
Posted: Mon Nov 03, 2025 10:28 am
by byang
@ssantos I'll believe the stronger version of that claim when it's independently verified.
Q1 2026 alone saw about $2.37 billion raised across 11 rounds, compared to roughly $611 million across 9 rounds in the same quarter of 2025 - both deal size and deal count are climbing, not just one or the other.
Re: Anyone else notice how quickly the price floor is dropping with Chinese entrants?
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2025 10:12 am
by erik_novi
@byang Thanks for laying this out, genuinely useful.
Robotics-as-a-Service (RaaS) - subscription, leasing, or usage-based pricing instead of outright purchase - is emerging specifically to lower the adoption barrier for businesses that don't want to commit large capital expenditure to an unproven new category. The 'labor shortage' framing in a lot of humanoid robotics pitch decks is doing real narrative work - it's a genuinely true dynamic in some sectors like warehousing and logistics, but it's also a much more palatable framing than 'labor cost reduction,' and both are usually true simultaneously.