Page 3 of 3

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Sun May 18, 2025 7:18 am
by green28
This is a great summary, thanks. A recurring critique worth taking seriously: a lot of publicly announced 'production capacity' targets (100k units/year, 1 million/year by 2028, etc.) are aspirational manufacturing targets, not confirmed sales or deployment numbers, and the gap between the two has historically been large in hardware industries.

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Thu May 22, 2025 9:26 pm
by barbara.jones
Tangent, but worth mentioning: A recurring critique worth taking seriously: a lot of publicly announced 'production capacity' targets (100k units/year, 1 million/year by 2028, etc.) are aspirational manufacturing targets, not confirmed sales or deployment numbers, and the gap between the two has historically been large in hardware industries.

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Sun Jun 01, 2025 10:59 pm
by deborahperez
@barbara.jones Small correction on one detail: Automotive OEMs becoming the leading early-adopter vertical isn't really about cars specifically - it's about those companies already having structured facilities, existing automation budgets, and risk tolerance for piloting new equipment at scale. Q1 2026 alone saw about $2.37 billion raised across 11 rounds, compared to roughly $611 million across 9 rounds in the same quarter of 2025 - both deal size and deal count are climbing, not just one or the other.

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Wed Jun 11, 2025 12:45 pm
by servoken70
@deborahperez I don't think that's quite right, for what it's worth. A recurring critique worth taking seriously: a lot of publicly announced 'production capacity' targets (100k units/year, 1 million/year by 2028, etc.) are aspirational manufacturing targets, not confirmed sales or deployment numbers, and the gap between the two has historically been large in hardware industries.

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Mon Jun 16, 2025 9:07 pm
by deborahperez
Still learning the space, so correct me if wrong - A recurring critique worth taking seriously: a lot of publicly announced 'production capacity' targets (100k units/year, 1 million/year by 2028, etc.) are aspirational manufacturing targets, not confirmed sales or deployment numbers, and the gap between the two has historically been large in hardware industries.

Re: How many commercial humanoids are actually operational worldwide right now?

Posted: Mon Jun 23, 2025 8:37 am
by green28
Not sure I fully agree here. Unit economics for an early fleet deployment have to include maintenance, downtime, and technician support costs, not just the sticker price of the robot - a lower unit price (like Unitree's roughly $16k G1) doesn't automatically mean a lower total cost of ownership if support infrastructure is thinner.