What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Whole-body control, RL policies, VLA models, sim-to-real, ROS2, and the software stack that makes a humanoid actually walk and act.
scott.novikova7
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What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by scott.novikova7 »

Curious what people here think about this. 'Zero-shot sim-to-real' rarely means literally zero real-world tuning in practice - it usually means the policy transfers well enough to be usable with only calibration and minor safety-limit adjustments, rather than needing a full additional training phase on hardware. Domain randomization - varying friction, mass, sensor noise, and even visual textures during training - is one of the more reliable tricks for improving sim-to-real transfer, but overdoing it can make training slower to converge and produce overly conservative policies. Interested to see if this matches what others are seeing.
kim37
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by kim37 »

@scott.novikova7 Just to be precise about one thing: Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models like RT-2, OpenVLA, and Physical Intelligence's pi0 unify a vision-language backbone with an action-output head, letting a robot map a camera image and a text instruction directly to motor commands instead of hand-coding separate perception and planning stages.
mohammed.rossi
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by mohammed.rossi »

Ran into exactly this myself. Isaac Lab (the successor to Isaac Gym) is widely used for large-scale parallel RL training thanks to GPU-accelerated physics, while MuJoCo is often used as a secondary 'sim-to-sim' validation step because its contact dynamics are generally considered more realistic than Isaac's, even though it trains slower at scale.
deborah59
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by deborah59 »

Slight correction, though the overall point stands: Cross-embodiment training (training one policy across data from multiple different robot bodies) has shown some real transfer benefits for high-level behaviors, but low-level control (exact joint torques, timing) still tends to need embodiment-specific fine-tuning.
Ex-automotive, now full-time robots.
servoken70
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by servoken70 »

@deborah59 Minor factual note: Balance-recovery controllers are usually evaluated with push-recovery tests (a known, repeatable lateral push) in demos, but real-world robustness also depends on recovering from unstructured events like uneven flooring, unexpected contact, or a dropped payload shifting the center of mass mid-stride - which is a much harder, less demo-friendly test.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
dubois35
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by dubois35 »

@servoken70 This is exactly the kind of context I was looking for. A lot of what reads as 'full autonomy' in public demos is closer to a mix of scripted state machines, teleoperation for the hardest sub-tasks, and autonomous execution for the easier, well-rehearsed parts - transparency about this mix varies a lot between companies.
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garcia51
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by garcia51 »

@dubois35 I can speak to this a bit. Sim-to-real transfer still commonly breaks on contact dynamics - friction, restitution, and deformable/compliant surfaces are the hardest things to model accurately in simulation, so policies trained purely in sim often need real-world fine-tuning specifically around contact-rich tasks.
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mohammed.rossi
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by mohammed.rossi »

@garcia51 +1 to this. Worth adding: OpenVLA is a notable open-source VLA model - roughly 7 billion parameters, trained on hundreds of thousands of real-world robot demonstrations - and has been shown to outperform much larger closed models on some manipulation benchmarks, which says a lot about how much of VLA performance comes from data curation rather than raw scale.
nicole10
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by nicole10 »

@mohammed.rossi Follow-up question though - Zero Moment Point (ZMP) control keeps the robot's center of pressure within its support polygon and has been the classical backbone of bipedal walking for two decades - it's robust and well-understood, but tends to produce a somewhat conservative, flat-footed gait compared to more dynamic approaches.
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ananya.novak
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Re: What's a realistic timeline for language-conditioned tasks becoming truly reliable?

Post by ananya.novak »

@nicole10 I'd frame this differently. Model predictive control (MPC) is still very much alive in production humanoids, often working alongside or underneath learned policies - MPC handles short-horizon dynamically-consistent trajectory optimization while learned components handle perception, task-level decisions, or recovery behaviors that are hard to hand-model. ROS2 remains common in research and early-stage products for its tooling and ecosystem, but a number of production humanoid companies run custom, more tightly-optimized middleware for their real-time control loops, using ROS2-like tooling mainly for development, visualization, and non-real-time subsystems. This whole thread is a good reminder how young this field still is.
Currently: 3D printing my way to bankruptcy.
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