Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Battery chemistry, pack design, BMS, runtime, charging/swapping, and keeping actuators from cooking themselves.
carol38
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Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2025 1:48 am

Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by carol38 »

Posting this half as a question, half as a rant. Distributed power architectures (multiple smaller packs or local capacitor buffering near high-draw actuators) can reduce peak current demands on the main bus and improve fault isolation, at the cost of added complexity versus a single central pack. The average humanoid in 2026 carries under 2.5 kWh of battery capacity, with real-world runtimes clustering between two and four hours depending on how dynamic the workload is - static, low-motion tasks stretch runtime much further than continuous walking or lifting. Interested to see if this matches what others are seeing.
betty.king
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Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2025 8:37 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by betty.king »

One nitpick - Tesla's Optimus Gen 2 reportedly carries roughly a 2.3 kWh pack and manages about two hours of dynamic work, while Unitree's H1 runs a smaller 0.864 kWh pack good for under four hours of largely static operation - a useful illustration of how battery size and workload type both drive runtime. Fast charging accelerates capacity fade over repeated cycles, so fleet operators generally have to choose between minimizing downtime (fast charging) and maximizing pack lifespan (slower charging or swap-based approaches) rather than getting both for free.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
giulia.roberts4
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Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by giulia.roberts4 »

This lines up with my experience. A BMS (battery management system) has to guard against transient current spikes from sudden gait changes or lifting motions, not just steady-state draw - peak current headroom and fast-acting protection logic matter as much as total capacity for real-world duty cycles. Regenerative braking on humanoid joints can recover some energy during deceleration phases of walking, but the actual energy recovered is modest compared to a vehicle, since humanoid joints don't sustain the same continuous high-speed rotation that makes regen worthwhile in EVs.
"The best actuator is the one that doesn't overheat."
kwilliams
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Joined: Sat Sep 21, 2024 1:57 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by kwilliams »

@giulia.roberts4 Genuinely curious - Hot-swappable battery packs solve the runtime bottleneck for continuous operations (like a 24/7 warehouse shift) without needing a much bigger, heavier pack, but they add mechanical complexity, a failure-prone connector interface, and logistics overhead for managing spare packs. Reminds me a bit of the early drone hobbyist scene, honestly.
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james15
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Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by james15 »

This is exactly the kind of context I was looking for. Battery placement (torso-centered vs backpack vs distributed through the limbs) is a real tradeoff between center-of-mass/balance considerations and thermal/cooling access - a torso-centered pack helps balance but is harder to cool than a more exposed backpack placement. This whole thread is a good reminder how young this field still is.
mohammed64
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Joined: Mon Jul 28, 2025 9:56 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by mohammed64 »

This raises a question for me - There's no widely standardized safety certification specific to humanoid battery packs yet in most jurisdictions - deployments generally lean on adapted versions of existing standards for industrial battery systems and electrical safety rather than a purpose-built humanoid standard. Higher-voltage power architectures reduce resistive losses and current draw through the wiring harness for a given power level, which is part of why some newer platforms are moving away from lower-voltage packs as total system power demand climbs. This whole thread is a good reminder how young this field still is.
he/him | robotics hobbyist since the DARPA Grand Challenge days
james15
Posts: 90
Joined: Sun Oct 26, 2025 3:39 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by james15 »

Here's the relevant bit as far as I understand it: Idle/standing power draw is often surprisingly close to a meaningful fraction of active walking power draw once you account for onboard compute, sensors, and balance-holding torque - 'doing nothing' still costs real energy on a humanoid.
mary.taylor6
Posts: 82
Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2025 10:51 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by mary.taylor6 »

This raises a question for me - Solid-state battery claims from platforms like XPeng's IRON, GAC's GoMate, and EngineAI's T800 are genuinely promising on paper for energy density and safety margins, but independent, large-scale field validation of those runtime claims is still fairly limited as of 2026 - it's real progress, not yet fully proven at scale.
park44
Posts: 156
Joined: Sat Nov 30, 2024 12:03 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by park44 »

@mary.taylor6 I can speak to this a bit. DC-DC conversion losses across all the individual actuator drivers add up across a whole robot - it's a less glamorous efficiency question than battery chemistry, but power electronics efficiency meaningfully affects real-world runtime too. Totally unrelated but has anyone else noticed how fast component costs are dropping this year.
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nicole10
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Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2025 9:48 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by nicole10 »

@park44 I dealt with almost this exact situation. Best-in-class lithium-ion cells used in humanoids are currently landing around 280-300 Wh/kg, which is respectable but still leaves battery mass as one of the largest single contributors to total robot weight.
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