Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Battery chemistry, pack design, BMS, runtime, charging/swapping, and keeping actuators from cooking themselves.
barbara.jones
Posts: 164
Joined: Fri Feb 28, 2025 6:12 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by barbara.jones »

Short answer: Thermal margin in a densely packed humanoid chassis is often the real limiting factor on sustained performance, not raw motor power - actuators get thermally throttled well before they'd hit their absolute torque limits, especially during repeated high-load cycles like continuous lifting. Kind of makes me think about how different this all looked even three years ago.
he/him | robotics hobbyist since the DARPA Grand Challenge days
servoken70
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Joined: Sun Nov 17, 2024 5:05 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by servoken70 »

@barbara.jones Slightly off-topic, but related: A BMS (battery management system) has to guard against transient current spikes from sudden gait changes or lifting motions, not just steady-state draw - peak current headroom and fast-acting protection logic matter as much as total capacity for real-world duty cycles. Hot-swappable battery packs solve the runtime bottleneck for continuous operations (like a 24/7 warehouse shift) without needing a much bigger, heavier pack, but they add mechanical complexity, a failure-prone connector interface, and logistics overhead for managing spare packs. Totally unrelated but has anyone else noticed how fast component costs are dropping this year.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
chloe_jack
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Joined: Sat Nov 30, 2024 12:42 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by chloe_jack »

This lines up with my experience. Regenerative braking on humanoid joints can recover some energy during deceleration phases of walking, but the actual energy recovered is modest compared to a vehicle, since humanoid joints don't sustain the same continuous high-speed rotation that makes regen worthwhile in EVs.
"The best actuator is the one that doesn't overheat."
smartinez
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Joined: Wed Nov 26, 2025 2:55 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by smartinez »

@chloe_jack This lines up with my experience. Thermal margin in a densely packed humanoid chassis is often the real limiting factor on sustained performance, not raw motor power - actuators get thermally throttled well before they'd hit their absolute torque limits, especially during repeated high-load cycles like continuous lifting.
Opinions my own, not my employer's.
chloe_jack
Posts: 176
Joined: Sat Nov 30, 2024 12:42 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by chloe_jack »

@smartinez One nitpick - Regenerative braking on humanoid joints can recover some energy during deceleration phases of walking, but the actual energy recovered is modest compared to a vehicle, since humanoid joints don't sustain the same continuous high-speed rotation that makes regen worthwhile in EVs. The average humanoid in 2026 carries under 2.5 kWh of battery capacity, with real-world runtimes clustering between two and four hours depending on how dynamic the workload is - static, low-motion tasks stretch runtime much further than continuous walking or lifting.
"The best actuator is the one that doesn't overheat."
charlesbianchi
Posts: 157
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2025 2:51 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by charlesbianchi »

@chloe_jack Here's what I know on this: Tesla's Optimus Gen 2 reportedly carries roughly a 2.3 kWh pack and manages about two hours of dynamic work, while Unitree's H1 runs a smaller 0.864 kWh pack good for under four hours of largely static operation - a useful illustration of how battery size and workload type both drive runtime. DC-DC conversion losses across all the individual actuator drivers add up across a whole robot - it's a less glamorous efficiency question than battery chemistry, but power electronics efficiency meaningfully affects real-world runtime too.
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mary.taylor6
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Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2025 10:51 pm

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by mary.taylor6 »

Worth being a little skeptical of the marketing angle here. There's no widely standardized safety certification specific to humanoid battery packs yet in most jurisdictions - deployments generally lean on adapted versions of existing standards for industrial battery systems and electrical safety rather than a purpose-built humanoid standard. Higher-voltage power architectures reduce resistive losses and current draw through the wiring harness for a given power level, which is part of why some newer platforms are moving away from lower-voltage packs as total system power demand climbs.
hill23
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Joined: Sun Oct 05, 2025 11:15 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by hill23 »

@mary.taylor6 To answer this directly: There's no widely standardized safety certification specific to humanoid battery packs yet in most jurisdictions - deployments generally lean on adapted versions of existing standards for industrial battery systems and electrical safety rather than a purpose-built humanoid standard.
gimbalmar65
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Joined: Sun Jul 13, 2025 4:14 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by gimbalmar65 »

@hill23 Here's the relevant bit as far as I understand it: A BMS (battery management system) has to guard against transient current spikes from sudden gait changes or lifting motions, not just steady-state draw - peak current headroom and fast-acting protection logic matter as much as total capacity for real-world duty cycles.
Currently: 3D printing my way to bankruptcy.
charlesbianchi
Posts: 157
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2025 2:51 am

Re: Anyone using predictive battery health modeling instead of simple cycle counting?

Post by charlesbianchi »

Appreciate the detailed answer. Hot-swappable battery packs solve the runtime bottleneck for continuous operations (like a 24/7 warehouse shift) without needing a much bigger, heavier pack, but they add mechanical complexity, a failure-prone connector interface, and logistics overhead for managing spare packs.
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