Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Tesla Optimus, Boston Dynamics Atlas, Figure, Unitree, Agility Digit, Apptronik Apollo, 1X, and everyone else building these things.
yuki71
Posts: 163
Joined: Mon Jan 06, 2025 1:05 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by yuki71 »

Still learning the space, so correct me if wrong - Agility Robotics' Digit is operating in Amazon fulfillment centers and GXO warehouses moving totes, backed by a factory with roughly 10,000 units of annual production capacity - one of the more mature commercial-scale logistics deployments as of 2026. Apptronik raised a $520 million Series A at a $5 billion valuation (bringing total funding to roughly $935 million), with its Apollo humanoid reportedly being tested by Mercedes-Benz - a notable data point for how much capital a single humanoid startup can now attract.
he/him | robotics hobbyist since the DARPA Grand Challenge days
ethan.lewis5
Posts: 65
Joined: Sat Apr 04, 2026 7:35 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by ethan.lewis5 »

@yuki71 Appreciate the detailed answer. Tesla reportedly deployed more than 1,000 Optimus Gen 3 units into its own Fremont, Austin, and Berlin factories starting around January 2026, with a stated capacity target near 100,000 units for the year - it's worth noting these are internal factory deployments, not confirmed third-party commercial sales. Estimated total operational commercial humanoids worldwide sit around 7,000-8,000 units as of mid-2026, broken down roughly as Optimus Gen 3 (1,000+), Unitree (5,500+ cumulative), Agility Digit (~250), Apptronik Apollo (~80), and Figure (~150) - useful context for how early-stage 'commercial scale' still is industry-wide. Kind of makes me think about how different this all looked even three years ago.
Opinions my own, not my employer's.
green28
Posts: 109
Joined: Sun May 11, 2025 2:06 am

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by green28 »

@ethan.lewis5 That's the official framing, at least - reality tends to lag a bit. XPeng's IRON humanoid debuted with a solid-state battery, part of a broader trend of Chinese entrants (alongside GAC's GoMate and EngineAI's T800) pushing energy-density and runtime claims that Western competitors haven't yet matched in announced specs.
ananya.novak
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Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2026 9:07 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by ananya.novak »

I'll believe the stronger version of that claim when it's independently verified. Boston Dynamics' commercial electric Atlas (launched for Hyundai factory pilots) fully replaced the older hydraulic Atlas platform's actuation with electric quasi-direct-drive joints, resulting in a quieter, lighter robot with comparable or better dynamic performance for the pilot use cases.
Currently: 3D printing my way to bankruptcy.
young56
Posts: 123
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2025 5:26 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by young56 »

@ananya.novak Minor factual note: Agility Robotics' Digit is operating in Amazon fulfillment centers and GXO warehouses moving totes, backed by a factory with roughly 10,000 units of annual production capacity - one of the more mature commercial-scale logistics deployments as of 2026.
she/her | grad student, biped locomotion
charlesbianchi
Posts: 157
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2025 2:51 am

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by charlesbianchi »

@young56 Related question - Estimated total operational commercial humanoids worldwide sit around 7,000-8,000 units as of mid-2026, broken down roughly as Optimus Gen 3 (1,000+), Unitree (5,500+ cumulative), Agility Digit (~250), Apptronik Apollo (~80), and Figure (~150) - useful context for how early-stage 'commercial scale' still is industry-wide. Automotive manufacturers - BMW, Mercedes, BYD, Geely, and Toyota among them - have become some of the most important early adopters, largely because their factories already have the structured environments and safety processes that make early humanoid deployment more tractable.
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sarahbernard
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Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2025 10:15 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by sarahbernard »

@charlesbianchi This matches something I went through recently. Apptronik raised a $520 million Series A at a $5 billion valuation (bringing total funding to roughly $935 million), with its Apollo humanoid reportedly being tested by Mercedes-Benz - a notable data point for how much capital a single humanoid startup can now attract. Reminds me a bit of the early drone hobbyist scene, honestly.
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rivera14
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Joined: Thu Mar 19, 2026 1:48 am

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by rivera14 »

Related question - Boston Dynamics' commercial electric Atlas (launched for Hyundai factory pilots) fully replaced the older hydraulic Atlas platform's actuation with electric quasi-direct-drive joints, resulting in a quieter, lighter robot with comparable or better dynamic performance for the pilot use cases.
Ex-automotive, now full-time robots.
benjaminsanchez
Posts: 180
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2025 1:58 am

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by benjaminsanchez »

Thanks for laying this out, genuinely useful. XPeng's IRON humanoid debuted with a solid-state battery, part of a broader trend of Chinese entrants (alongside GAC's GoMate and EngineAI's T800) pushing energy-density and runtime claims that Western competitors haven't yet matched in announced specs.
vyoung
Posts: 51
Joined: Thu Mar 26, 2026 12:05 pm

Re: Anyone else notice how fast the price floor is dropping year over year?

Post by vyoung »

Thanks for laying this out, genuinely useful. Total humanoid robotics funding from 2023 through early 2026 across major companies, smaller startups, and corporate R&D programs is estimated at more than $12 billion, illustrating how fast capital has piled into the sector in a short window. Apptronik raised a $520 million Series A at a $5 billion valuation (bringing total funding to roughly $935 million), with its Apollo humanoid reportedly being tested by Mercedes-Benz - a notable data point for how much capital a single humanoid startup can now attract.
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