Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Open discussion on humanoid robots, the field in general, and anything that doesn't fit the boxes below.
barbara.jones
Posts: 164
Joined: Fri Feb 28, 2025 6:12 pm

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by barbara.jones »

@robertmiller Minor factual note: Most flashy demo reels involve some amount of teleoperation, scripted sequencing, or cherry-picked takes - that's not necessarily dishonest, but it does mean the gap between 'demoed' and 'reliably autonomous in production' is still large.
he/him | robotics hobbyist since the DARPA Grand Challenge days
emma_whit
Posts: 73
Joined: Thu Dec 25, 2025 11:20 pm

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by emma_whit »

To answer this directly: Roughly 7,000-8,000 commercial humanoids are estimated to be operational worldwide as of mid-2026, which sounds like a lot until you compare it to the millions of industrial arms already installed.
novak49
Posts: 41
Joined: Tue May 05, 2026 12:34 am

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by novak49 »

@emma_whit Worth being a little skeptical of the marketing angle here. 'General purpose' in 2026 mostly means 'can be reprogrammed for a new task without new hardware,' not 'can walk into any environment and figure things out unsupervised.'
george92
Posts: 108
Joined: Thu Sep 25, 2025 4:18 pm

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by george92 »

Here's the relevant bit as far as I understand it: Automotive plants ended up as the first serious proving ground for humanoids mostly because they already have structured environments, safety processes, and budget for automation - not because car assembly is uniquely suited to bipeds. 'General purpose' in 2026 mostly means 'can be reprogrammed for a new task without new hardware,' not 'can walk into any environment and figure things out unsupervised.'
she/her | grad student, biped locomotion
sarah.santos3
Posts: 213
Joined: Thu Feb 13, 2025 5:30 am

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by sarah.santos3 »

@george92 I can speak to this a bit. Open-source humanoid projects matter less for out-competing the well-funded players and more for keeping the barrier to entry low enough that new ideas and new people can actually get into the field.
they/them
mia.novak
Posts: 8
Joined: Sun Aug 30, 2026 12:28 am

Re: Which company do you think has the best long-term strategy, not just the flashiest demo?

Post by mia.novak »

@sarah.santos3 Small correction on one detail: A lot of the current wave genuinely is repackaged 2000s and 2010s research (ZMP walking, whole-body control, DARPA-era grasping) combined with two things that weren't available then: cheap high-torque-density actuators and large-scale learned policies. Roughly 7,000-8,000 commercial humanoids are estimated to be operational worldwide as of mid-2026, which sounds like a lot until you compare it to the millions of industrial arms already installed.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
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