How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Open discussion on humanoid robots, the field in general, and anything that doesn't fit the boxes below.
deborahperez
Posts: 279
Joined: Sat Aug 31, 2024 4:22 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by deborahperez »

@chenperez Appreciate the detailed answer. Most flashy demo reels involve some amount of teleoperation, scripted sequencing, or cherry-picked takes - that's not necessarily dishonest, but it does mean the gap between 'demoed' and 'reliably autonomous in production' is still large. The 'humanoid' form factor mostly wins on infrastructure compatibility, not raw efficiency - stairs, doors, and tools were all built for a human body plan, so a legged, two-armed robot slots into existing spaces without retrofitting them.
dchen
Posts: 182
Joined: Wed Nov 13, 2024 6:51 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by dchen »

Just to be precise about one thing: 'General purpose' in 2026 mostly means 'can be reprogrammed for a new task without new hardware,' not 'can walk into any environment and figure things out unsupervised.'
camila.jackson0
Posts: 225
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2024 1:27 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by camila.jackson0 »

Not to derail, but this reminds me of something adjacent: Wheeled-torso designs solve 90% of warehouse and light-industrial tasks with far less complexity than a biped, which is exactly why so many 'humanoid' demos quietly have wheels under a skirt.
Building > buying.
emilyperez
Posts: 246
Joined: Mon Oct 28, 2024 8:03 pm

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by emilyperez »

Counterpoint: A recurring pattern in the field: a capability looks solved in a controlled demo, then takes another 18-24 months of engineering to become boringly reliable in the field. Elder care is one of the most emotionally appealing use cases and also one of the hardest, because it demands both physical safety around fragile people and social/communication skill that's still far behind the manipulation hype.
choi98
Posts: 220
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2024 12:32 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by choi98 »

This matches something I went through recently. Elder care is one of the most emotionally appealing use cases and also one of the hardest, because it demands both physical safety around fragile people and social/communication skill that's still far behind the manipulation hype. A genuinely underrated bottleneck is neither hardware nor pure ML - it's the unglamorous integration work of making perception, planning, and control agree with each other reliably for eight-hour shifts.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
sharonschmidt
Posts: 174
Joined: Mon Sep 30, 2024 7:31 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by sharonschmidt »

Slight correction, though the overall point stands: A genuinely underrated bottleneck is neither hardware nor pure ML - it's the unglamorous integration work of making perception, planning, and control agree with each other reliably for eight-hour shifts. The uncanny valley matters a lot less in a warehouse than in a living room - nobody cares if a picking robot looks a little stiff, but a home-companion robot with a slightly-off gait reads as unsettling fast.
Ex-automotive, now full-time robots.
nicole57
Posts: 208
Joined: Wed Dec 04, 2024 1:29 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by nicole57 »

@sharonschmidt This lines up with my experience. Automotive plants ended up as the first serious proving ground for humanoids mostly because they already have structured environments, safety processes, and budget for automation - not because car assembly is uniquely suited to bipeds.
she/her | grad student, biped locomotion
choi98
Posts: 220
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2024 12:32 am

Re: How do you personally define 'progress' in this field vs marketing progress?

Post by choi98 »

@nicole57 This is exactly the kind of context I was looking for. The 'humanoid' form factor mostly wins on infrastructure compatibility, not raw efficiency - stairs, doors, and tools were all built for a human body plan, so a legged, two-armed robot slots into existing spaces without retrofitting them. Anyway, good thread - following for more.
Watching this space closely since 2019.
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